Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.002861 1.138545 1.286373 1.459481 1.656764 1.874746 2.134076
2025-12-28 0.808754 0.996784 1.219473 1.503092 1.855383 2.279473 2.830120
2026-01-04 0.672799 0.877378 1.133999 1.480404 1.937227 2.521076 3.327175
2026-01-11 0.599565 0.818814 1.107089 1.515277 2.080827 2.840340 3.943886
2026-01-18 0.534089 0.758892 1.066679 1.520854 2.177585 3.098283 4.496819
2026-01-25 0.473906 0.697425 1.014629 1.500180 2.229519 3.292010 4.971480
2026-02-01 0.420480 0.638737 0.958689 1.465004 2.252307 3.440043 5.387026
2026-02-08 0.375358 0.587054 0.906788 1.428518 2.266139 3.571350 5.784366
2026-02-15 0.348260 0.559911 0.888752 1.441201 2.355537 3.824936 6.398039
2026-02-22 0.320521 0.528740 0.860897 1.434323 2.410800 4.026153 6.941978
2026-03-01 0.293790 0.496489 0.827959 1.415064 2.442059 4.188081 7.431627
2026-03-08 0.264170 0.456588 0.778604 1.362786 2.410674 4.238441 7.726647
2026-03-15 0.240086 0.426273 0.746603 1.344660 2.450310 4.439196 8.360349
2026-03-22 0.226898 0.414271 0.746048 1.384290 2.602001 4.864215 9.478904
2026-03-29 0.206537 0.386915 0.714881 1.363460 2.637474 5.076021 10.210408
2026-04-05 0.195596 0.375795 0.712087 1.395490 2.777090 5.500838 11.418591
2026-04-12 0.182428 0.358949 0.696581 1.400611 2.863242 5.828713 12.466925
2026-04-19 0.167886 0.337857 0.670616 1.381623 2.897456 6.053773 13.323025
2026-04-26 0.153462 0.315520 0.639895 1.349315 2.899610 6.211052 14.048435
2026-05-03 0.140415 0.294703 0.610181 1.315800 2.895012 6.352379 14.754140
2026-05-10 0.132872 0.284697 0.601861 1.327451 2.990862 6.724272 16.042418
2026-05-17 0.124395 0.271841 0.586221 1.321133 3.045132 7.007890 17.155472
2026-05-24 0.115729 0.257733 0.566505 1.303441 3.070904 7.228000 18.140219